$LITE
Lumentum Holdings IncHow his view evolved
Every substantive take he's posted on $LITE, newest first — each labelled with the stance he expressed at the time.
- Feb 25, 2026Bullish
This aged well. Every photonics name I’ve done a thesis post on from $LITE to $AXTI has doubled or increased a few hundred percent. https://t.co/uOKGPFpJha
View on X → - Feb 24, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
Year to Date: 412.72% Lot of it is just picking the right sector, profiting off of Jane Street algos weekly, and a bit of luck. In terms of bottleneck longs, these are currently my favorite: 1. Memory - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $SNDK, $MU, $SIMO 2. Photonics - $LITE, $COHR, https://t.co/3DkN332VlO
View on X → - Feb 24, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
@crypticTooth $AXTI is my favorite just because of their strategic value to the photonics supply chains. Otherwise $LITE is runner up, and largely undervalued if you fast forward two years. But as of now it looks a little overextended. Prob $COHR #3 and $AAOI #4 as another moonshot with
View on X → - Feb 24, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
@otium33 @dubiousnoob Good question for photonics you can see major scale up 2028 onward. It’s 2026 now and things are just getting priced in anticipation ( $LITE profits aren’t exactly high, but they’re expected to balloon in a few years as Google TPU programs and others scale up). For memory you https://t.co/E5yjUGvE8P
View on X → - Feb 22, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
@ValarMorghuliz9 $LITE is very undervalued if you fast forward 2 years. But as of now, it’s probably a tad overextended and markets have done a bit too much frontrunning imo.
View on X → - Feb 16, 2026Bullish
@yianisz Yeah pretty sad to see people get laid off from AI displacement. So only thing people can do now is ride the wave or get left behind. Biggest hedge against this is AI equities and looking into BOM spend. Biggest is memory like $MU or $SNDK. Photonics from $LITE to $AAOI
View on X → - Feb 12, 2026Bullish
The "Bottleneck ETF" from supply chain mapping. Not a single name red. Equal weighted results 1W: +12.83%. List: $LITE: +31.68% $AMKR: +28.7% Disco: +24.35% $GLW: +23.57% $COHR: +23.5% $ONTO: +18.4% $CAMT: +17.7% $TSM: +15.8% $ON: +15.8% Samsung: +15.4% $KLAC: +12.7% $APH: https://t.co/oE7cauGuPU https://t.co/NQzRUpBGf2
View on X → - Feb 11, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
@mhayavkay You do realize a lot of the ramp happens 2028 right? For stuff like $LITE which is ~8-12 of Google TPU BOM, I don't quite think it's priced in long term yet (short term yes, it rallied 70% 1M). https://t.co/ZFfhiLTrXI
View on X → - Feb 11, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
For the vast majority of retail: If you want to ride the capex trends happening right now, these are probably must have imo: 1. Memory - $MU, Samsung, Sk Hynix, $SNDK 2. Photonics - $LITE, $COHR 3. CoWoS/Foundry/Advanced Packaging - $AMKR, $TSM, $INTC There's a lot of https://t.co/10vakUjUsq
View on X → - Feb 7, 2026Bullishconviction 3/4
@Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction. But I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies
View on X → - Feb 7, 2026Bullish
Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary: HBM: HBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU HBF - $SNDK, Kioxia Base Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal) CPO/photonics; Glass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden Optical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL Power https://t.co/5yOwVVemEX
View on X → - Feb 5, 2026Bearish
@Bonek2801 Risk management purposes. I’d rather hold 50% in Bitcoin around $70K than sit on cash to lower volatility. Also the downside risk of $VPG is $TSLA creating their own sensors and vertically integrating it away. Similar bear case with $GOOGL and OCS with $LITE though.
View on X → - Feb 4, 2026Bullish
@stefano_kerope True, $LITE and $COHR are large beneficiaries from this. https://t.co/A3nxoIQ3iE
View on X → - Feb 4, 2026Bullish
$GOOGL reported earnings and their CapEX spend was enormous. $175-$185 Billion vs. $120 Billion. This is bullish for AI buildout. Follow the money flow down to: - $AVGO, Mediatek, $TSM (design / foundry) - Sk hynix, Samsung, $MU, $SNDK (memory) - $ANET, $LITE, $COHR, $VRT https://t.co/2QCmwmEPXO
View on X → - Dec 22, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
@manukafirth "Late". $LITE is a $26B MC in the center of every future $GOOGL TPU deployment, $NVDA/ $AMZN / other GPU/ASICs. 8-12% BOM share of every Google TPU v7. This is like saying $NVDA was "late" when price it was a $1T MC. But if you want want another player, $AAOI. $MSFT is https://t.co/pzOSHyzuwk
View on X → - Dec 22, 2025Bullishconviction 4/4
The $LITE thesis: The hidden monopoly in the AI. Lumentum is up 316% YTD, but might be 1000%+ by 2027. Micron ($300B) or TSM ($1.5T) sit in the center of every TPU/GPU deployed. But same with $LITE, but it's a $26B MC. In Every, Single, TPU from Google, $LITE makes https://t.co/qSDQrISbv4 https://t.co/GXcrxjPWQq
View on X → - Dec 21, 2025Bullishconviction 4/4
@itsthesquonky Thanks for the $LITE shoutout. I didn't realize how instrumental it was to $NVDA blackwell, $GOOGL TPUs, and $AMZN Trainium chips. Insane how it's part the core of single GPU/TPU/ASIC from every hyperscaler (hence why it's high-conviction) As for $CRDO, similar ground to https://t.co/sf70VQAOhN
View on X → - Dec 20, 2025Bullish
@TrueWealthAngel So I’d say $RKLB is definitely the most overvalued right now. $LITE is edging toward the overbought territory but it definitely warrants a re-rating given how critical it is in TPUv7, Trainium, and Blackwell chips. $NBIS and $CRCL are most undervalued out of the bunch, then
View on X → - Dec 12, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
@DigestingX I'm researching $AVGO earnings right now and ASIC demand spillover to photonics like $LITE! I wanted to add to my $LITE position since that was my lowest right now, so might be a buying opportunity as you mentioned.
View on X → - Dec 12, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
@blu400_ Core portfolio is high conviction longs: $BTC, $RKLB, $HOOD, $NBIS, $ALAB, $TSM Probably moving $LITE and $CRCL to the core long port above, but they’re newer positions that I’m building up. Then short-mid term mix like $SNAP, $CIFR, $RDDT, $SMCI, $HIMS, $TE, $LTC, $KRUS, AMKR,
View on X → - Dec 12, 2025Bullish
@youngvibrantman Yeah I really, really like $LITE but it’s already priced in with a premium. I only have relatively small positions in $AAOI though just because of execution risk in case a hyperscaler drops purchase orders + competition from Jabil. That being said it’s priced as a small cap
View on X → - Dec 11, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
I entered $ALAB, $NBIS, $TSM, and $LITE because of Mag7 funneling revenue numbers into them. Lite uniquely because of its role in GOOGL TPU v7, AMZN Trainium v3/4, and NVDA Blackwell. But there's a new one I found out about. A small cap <$3B player that fits the thesis: Name https://t.co/uhDf5dVrbY https://t.co/sjPvXBWbH9
View on X → - Dec 10, 2025Bullish
Post-Fed Interest Rate 25BPS cut. December 11th ratings: Strong Buy: $CRCL $COIN $AMKR $CRDO $IBIT $MSTR $AMZN $SMCI $TSM $TSSI Sk Hynix $SNAP Samsung Electronics $ALAB $META $NBIS $CIFR Buy: $KRUS $AVGO $NFLX $KRKNF $HIMS $FLY $OSS $TE $FLNC $LITE $COHR $RKLB $TTD $NVDA $CLS https://t.co/R1NMd69gG6
View on X → - Dec 8, 2025Bullish
@itsthesquonky Round the time I did supply chain research on TPU v7 for $LITE! Incredibly promising but a tad overextended right now https://t.co/QFojyOiXXP
View on X → - Dec 8, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
Stock position updates: Sitting on high-conviction longs like $NBIS and writing options, relatively lax weekend. Minor position adds updates from last week: $LITE - $316.5 (+5.53%) -> ~$335.91 Lite benefits from $NVDA Blackwell + $GOOGL v7 TPU rampup $AMKR - $37.6 (+18.4%) https://t.co/lSRE4AVT18 https://t.co/HPWS3VYhey
View on X → - Dec 5, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
@YuxianShii I've actually posted a breakdown + talked about each individual stock up there before if you follow what I normally post. This is just a consolidated list from history. For example I posted a deeper dive on TPU v7 ironwood supply chain not too long ago ( $COHR, $AMKR, $LITE,
View on X → - Dec 5, 2025Bullishconviction 4/4
As of current prices, December 5th: The ideal AI portfolio for the LLM + TPU/GPU ramp would look like this: · 25% $NBIS · 15% $TSM · 12.5% $LITE · 10% $ALAB · 10% $SMCI · 10% $AMKR · 5% Samsung Electronics · 5% SK Hynix · 5% $CRDO · 5% $CLS · 5% $COHR · 5% $NVDA Calls · 2.5% https://t.co/a9DWyvg0yF https://t.co/n6kLB0Wq4j
View on X → - Dec 5, 2025Bullish
@ABC12D2 $LITE for exposure to TPU v7 ironwood ramp up
View on X → - Dec 1, 2025Bullishconviction 3/4
@Kaizen_Investor Yeah little sad I'm late to the $LITE party and it's ATHs right now. But if we look what happened to $NVDA 2022 to now, same could happen if TPU ends up becoming a dominant player in inference. and.. $LITE is directly correlated to TPU ramp up. Sadly didn't realize how vital
View on X →